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Wind speed estimates of the December 2021 Quad-State Tornado in Mayfield, KY based on treefall pattern analysis

A violent tornado outbreak occurred on December 10-11, 2021 in the Midwest US. One of the tornadoes, known as the Quad-State tornado, tracked across four states and devastated the downtown area of Mayfield, KY, producing high-end EF-4 damage. The data here provides a series of wind speed and direction time histories of the Quad-State tornado for 44 damaged residential houses in Mayfield, KY, which can be useful for detailed forensic analysis of the residential building damage. The data was generated using a software that performs a treefall pattern analysis method, developed by the first author. In addition to the many structural damage, the tornado damaged a large number of trees in the Mayfield area. The fall direction of the damaged trees displayed a converging pattern, caused by a rotational wind flow, which is a typical indicator of a tornado. The converging treefall pattern then can be analyzed to characterize the tornadic flow and estimate the wind field (i.e., treefall pattern analysis method). The treefall pattern analysis method simulates a series of tornadoes using an idealized Rankine vortex model and generates a virtual treefall pattern, which is used to compare to the treefall pattern observed in the field and iterated until the "best-matching" pattern is found. In order to reduce the uncertainty in the estimates, the translational speed of the tornado was estimated based on tracking the motion of the vortex signature from the nearest NEXRAD radar, and the Radius of Maximum Wind (RMW) and decay exponent of the Rankine vortex model were estimated based on the structural damage. Then, the software was used to estimate the rest of the vortex parameters and wind time history (e.g., wind speed and direction) at selected locations. More detailed description on the parameter estimation and software will be published later in the NIST Technical Note.

About this Dataset

Updated: 2024-02-22
Metadata Last Updated: 2023-07-17 00:00:00
Date Created: N/A
Data Provided by:
Dataset Owner: N/A

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Title Wind speed estimates of the December 2021 Quad-State Tornado in Mayfield, KY based on treefall pattern analysis
Description A violent tornado outbreak occurred on December 10-11, 2021 in the Midwest US. One of the tornadoes, known as the Quad-State tornado, tracked across four states and devastated the downtown area of Mayfield, KY, producing high-end EF-4 damage. The data here provides a series of wind speed and direction time histories of the Quad-State tornado for 44 damaged residential houses in Mayfield, KY, which can be useful for detailed forensic analysis of the residential building damage. The data was generated using a software that performs a treefall pattern analysis method, developed by the first author. In addition to the many structural damage, the tornado damaged a large number of trees in the Mayfield area. The fall direction of the damaged trees displayed a converging pattern, caused by a rotational wind flow, which is a typical indicator of a tornado. The converging treefall pattern then can be analyzed to characterize the tornadic flow and estimate the wind field (i.e., treefall pattern analysis method). The treefall pattern analysis method simulates a series of tornadoes using an idealized Rankine vortex model and generates a virtual treefall pattern, which is used to compare to the treefall pattern observed in the field and iterated until the "best-matching" pattern is found. In order to reduce the uncertainty in the estimates, the translational speed of the tornado was estimated based on tracking the motion of the vortex signature from the nearest NEXRAD radar, and the Radius of Maximum Wind (RMW) and decay exponent of the Rankine vortex model were estimated based on the structural damage. Then, the software was used to estimate the rest of the vortex parameters and wind time history (e.g., wind speed and direction) at selected locations. More detailed description on the parameter estimation and software will be published later in the NIST Technical Note.
Modified 2023-07-17 00:00:00
Publisher Name National Institute of Standards and Technology
Contact mailto:[email protected]
Keywords tornado , Mayfield KY , treefall , near-surface , wind speed , wind direction , time history
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    "title": "Wind speed estimates of the December 2021 Quad-State Tornado in Mayfield, KY based on treefall pattern analysis",
    "description": "A violent tornado outbreak occurred on December 10-11, 2021 in the Midwest US. One of the tornadoes, known as the Quad-State tornado, tracked across four states and devastated the downtown area of Mayfield, KY, producing high-end EF-4 damage. The data here provides a series of wind speed and direction time histories of the Quad-State tornado for 44 damaged residential houses in Mayfield, KY, which can be useful for detailed forensic analysis of the residential building damage. The data was generated using a software that performs a treefall pattern analysis method, developed by the first author. In addition to the many structural damage, the tornado damaged a large number of trees in the Mayfield area. The fall direction of the damaged trees displayed a converging pattern, caused by a rotational wind flow, which is a typical indicator of a tornado. The converging treefall pattern then can be analyzed to characterize the tornadic flow and estimate the wind field (i.e., treefall pattern analysis method). The treefall pattern analysis method simulates a series of tornadoes using an idealized Rankine vortex model and generates a virtual treefall pattern, which is used to compare to the treefall pattern observed in the field and iterated until the \"best-matching\" pattern is found. In order to reduce the uncertainty in the estimates, the translational speed of the tornado was estimated based on tracking the motion of the vortex signature from the nearest NEXRAD radar, and the Radius of Maximum Wind (RMW) and decay exponent of the Rankine vortex model were estimated based on the structural damage. Then, the software was used to estimate the rest of the vortex parameters and wind time history (e.g., wind speed and direction) at selected locations. More detailed description on the parameter estimation and software will be published later in the NIST Technical Note.",
    "language": [
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    "distribution": [
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            "title": "Quad State Wind Time Histories and Supplementary Dataset"
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